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Analysis Of The Impact Of Macroeconomic Policies On Economic Growth In Indonesia (2010-2022) Lastri, Lastri; Purba, Elvis F; Sihotang, Jusmer; Gea, Putri Angeline
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan Vol 12, No 3 (2025): Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan Accredited 2 (SK Dirjen Ristek Dikti No. 0173/C3/DT
Publisher : LPPM Universitas PGRI Sumatera Barat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22202/mamangan.v12i03.7894

Abstract

Economic growth is a difficult problem for every country to overcome. The government can use macroeconomic policies, namely monetary policy and fiscal policy, to increase economic growth. The monetary policy instruments used in this research are JUB, BI rate, inflation and exchange rate, while fiscal policy is in the form of taxes and government spending. By using the VAR method, JUB and the exchange rate have a significant influence on economic growth and in the long term increasing JUB and stabilizing the exchange rate can increase economic growth while high inflation and BI rates can reduce economic growth. When the economy is sluggish, the government can increase the JUB by reducing the Minimum Statutory Reserve and carrying out open market operations, limiting imports and increasing exports so that the rupiah exchange rate against the dollar can appreciate so that inflation can be suppressed, then lowering the interest rate on savings and loans so that people can running MSMEs or macro businesses. In the long term, fiscal policy in increasing tax revenues from the formal sector and increasing government spending in infrastructure development, education and health can increase economic growth.
Analysis Of The Influence Of Production, Price, Land Area And Exchange Rates On Indonesian Tobacco Exports Lastri, Lastri; Purba, Elvis F; Sihotang, Jusmer; Laoli, Clear Rita
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan Vol 12, No 3 (2024): Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan Accredited 3 (SK Dirjen Ristek Dikti No. 158/E/KPT/
Publisher : LPPM Universitas PGRI Sumatera Barat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22202/mamangan.v12i3.5450

Abstract

Indonesia's tobacco exports are currently experiencing a setback. For this reason, this research uses the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model with variables of production, land area, international prices and exchange rates which influence Indonesian Tobacco Exports both in the short and long term. For the short term, the ARDL model forecasting variables for production, land area, international prices and exchange rates have a significant effect on Indonesian tobacco exports, while for the long term the variables of international prices and exchange rates have a significant effect on Indonesian tobacco exports.
The Economic Value Of Toba Batak Marriage Traditions Post Repeal Of PPKM Purba, Elvis F; Nababan, Tongam Sihol; Lastri, Lastri; Siregar, Tesa EV
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan Vol 12, No 3 (2025): Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan Accredited 2 (SK Dirjen Ristek Dikti No. 0173/C3/DT
Publisher : LPPM Universitas PGRI Sumatera Barat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22202/mamangan.v12i03.7832

Abstract

This research aims to estimate the expenditure on Toba Batak wedding customs from the initial stages to the traditional wedding ceremony by taking an inventory of various expenditures so that the economic value of the wedding custom can be mapped. The economic value referred to is the value paid by consumers (namely paranak and parboru) for goods and services purchased or consumed or used in marriage customs, especially from micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs). To collect data, 30 families were selected as research samples with the following criteria: (1) the traditional wedding party was paid for by paranak , (2) the amount of the dowry (sinamot ) was a maximum of 40 million rupiah, (3) the martumpol was held , (4) the traditional party was held in Medan , and (5) paranak and parboru are both Toba Batak people. The sampling method is accidental sampling and data collection starts from March to August 2023. Then the primary data is processed using simple mathematical calculations and analyzed quantitatively descriptively. The research results show a total expenditure of 2,833,900,000 rupiah or an average of 188,926,667 rupiah for each wedding custom. The main source of expenditure is paranak, almost 69% of the total. Meanwhile, the economic value of traditional marriages reached 1,965,600,000 rupiah or an average of 131,040,000 rupiah, namely to pay for goods and service transactions to MSMEs. Paranak contribution to the transaction was around 67% and the rest came from parboru. Assuming 500 marriage customs, the economic value of marriage customs is estimated to reach hundreds of billions in 2023 and become one of the drivers of economic activity, especially for MSMEs in Medan City.