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All Journal Jurnal Reviu Akuntansi dan Keuangan Ekonomi Bisnis Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Al Qalam: Jurnal Ilmiah Keagamaan dan Kemasyarakatan Jambura Equilibrium Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Edunomika (JIE) Jurnal EK dan BI Jurnal Pembelajaran Pemberdayaan Masyarakat (JP2M) Abdi Psikonomi Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity) Determinasi: Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi Manajemen dan Akuntansi
Trian Gigih Kuncoro
Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta
Religion Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Social Sciences Other

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Evaluating The Nexus of Renewable Energy's in Economic Growth Realities: Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach Trian Gigih Kuncoro; Deni Aditya Susanto
Jambura Equilibrium Journal Vol 6, No 1 (2024): Vol 6. No 1. January 2024
Publisher : Gorontalo State University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37479/jej.v6i1.23411

Abstract

This article about energy in an economic context, energy fossil has become one of the causes of issues faced by humanity. These problems have cascading impacts, ranging from climate damage to individual health and global socio-economic conditions. This study aimed to elucidate the effects of renewable energy, fossil energy, labor force, foreign direct investment and carbon dioxide emissions on economic growth. The analytical tool employed was the ARDL bound test. Secondary data from annual series spanning from 1986 to 2020. The study found a two-way cointegration between labor force, foreign direct investment, and economic growth. Based on the methodology used, conclusions were drawn regarding short-run and long-run relationships. In the short run, both fossil and renewable energy had unidirectional relationships with economic growth. Carbon dioxide emissions had a negative impact on economic growth in the short-run and the long-run. Labor force and economic growth exhibited a two-way relationship in the long-run. Consequently, energy transition policies and the imposition of carbon emission taxes could have negative short-run implications for Indonesia's economic growth, while the reverse may be true in the long run. Economic growth may reach a peak and then decline and policymakers should maximize existing non-renewable energy sources. A policy requiring to control more fossil fuel energy sources and discover untapped reserves is worthy of continuation and even strengthening. The findings provide an understanding of the relationship between renewable energy and economic growth as a necessity for the energy transition. The study has limitations in assumptions when interpreting the findings.
PENGARUH EKSPOR-IMPOR, INFLASI, PENGANGGURAN TERHADAP GDP INDONESIA DAN AMERIKA SERIKAT Allya Rahma Faradilla; Eni Setyowati; Maulidyah Indira Hasmarini; Trian Gigih Kuncoro
JURNAL ILMIAH EDUNOMIKA Vol 8, No 2 (2024): EDUNOMIKA
Publisher : ITB AAS Indonesia Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/jie.v8i2.12606

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the influence of exports, imports, inflation and unemployment on Indonesian and American GDP for the 1997-2021 period. The method used in this research is multiple linear regression with the f test and t test. GDP, inflation and unemployment data are taken from the IMF, exports and imports are taken from the world bank. The results of this research show that the import variable has a significant positive influence on economic growth in the United States, but does not have a significant influence on economic growth in Indonesia. The inflation variable has a positive and significant influence on economic growth in Indonesia, but does not have a significant influence on economic growth in the United States. The unemployment variable has a negative and significant influence on economic growth in Indonesia, but does not have a significant influence on economic growth in the United States. The export variable has a positive but insignificant influence on economic growth in Indonesia and United States during 1997-2021.. Keywords : GDP, Pengangguran, Ekspor, Impor, Inflasi.
Determinan Kesejahteraan Masyarakat di 7 Negara ASEAN Tahun 2012-2021 Andriyani, Rachma Fadia; Setyowati, Eni; Hasmarini, Maulidyah Indira; Kuncoro, Trian Gigih; Soebagyo, Daryono
Al Qalam: Jurnal Ilmiah Keagamaan dan Kemasyarakatan Vol. 18, No. 2 : Al Qalam (Maret 2024)
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Al-Qur'an (STIQ) Amuntai Kalimantan Selatan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35931/aq.v18i2.3393

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh Produk Domestik Bruto, pengangguran, inflasi, investasi asing langsung, dan populasi terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat dengan pendekatan data Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) di 7 Negara ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Vietnam, dan Kamboja) dari tahun 2012 sampai dengan tahun 2021. Data dalam penelitian ini menggunakan data yang berasal dari sumber data sekunder. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif. Metode yang digunakan adalah regresi data panel dengan pendekatan Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa inflasi dan investasi asing langsung tidak berpengaruh terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat di 7 Negara ASEAN pada tahun 2012-2021. Sementara itu, Produk Domestik Bruto, pengangguran, dan populasi berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kesejahteraan masyarakat di 7 Negara ASEAN pada tahun 2012-2021. Mengetahui tingkat kesejahteraan masyarakat melalui angka Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) penting dilakukan untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang menjadi ketidakseimbangan kesejahteraan masyarakat antar negara di 7 Negara ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapura, Thailand, Filipina, Vietnam, dan Kamboja).
ANALISIS DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN SPIN-OFF TERHADAP PROFITABILITAS DAN MARKET SHARE PADA BANK UMUM SYARIAH DI INDONESIA Imtiyas Azza Atthiyah; Trian Gigih Kuncoro
Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Vol 7 No 6 (2024): COSTING : Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting
Publisher : Institut Penelitian Matematika, Komputer, Keperawatan, Pendidikan dan Ekonomi (IPM2KPE)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31539/costing.v7i6.12807

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memahami bagaimana spin-off mempengaruhi bagian pasar perbankan syariah. Pengaruh ini diukur melalui rasio DPK dan profitabilitas dihitung dengan rasio ROA, ROE, dan BOPO. Penelitian ini juga mempertimbangkan beberapa variabel makroekonomi seperti kurs, indeks harga konsumen, dan kebijakan spin-off digunakan sebagai variabel dummy. Karena kurangnya pembahasan mengenai kebijakan Spin-off yang disandingkan dengan faktor eksternal seperti kondisi ekonomi makro dan perubahan konsumen yang menjadi pembaruan untuk penelitian ini, dan menggunakan jenis pemisahan alternatif murni dan tidak murni. Oleh karena itu, data dianalisis menggunakan teknik regresi data panel dengan data tahunan tahun 2014 hingga 2023. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan spin-off mempengaruhi DPK dan ROE perbankan syariah, namun tidak mempengaruhi ROA dan BOPO secara signifikan.Variabel Kurs juga berpengaruh sama antara DPK, dan ROE perbankan Syariah, sedangkan ROA, dan BOPO tidak signifikan. Sementara itu, variabel IHK tidak memiliki dampak signifikan terhadap variabel yang diteliti. Studi ini diharapkan memberi wawasan bagi pengambil kebijakan dan praktisi industri perbankan syariah dalam mengelola faktor-faktor eksternal yang dapat mempengaruhi kesehatan perusahaan yang berkelanjutan.
CARBON EMISSIONS, ECONOMIC GROWTH, AND RENEWABLE ENERGY IN INDONESIA: AN AUTOREGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTED LAG MODEL Perwithosuci, Winny; Kurniawan, Mahrus Lutfi Adi; Kuncoro, Trian Gigih
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis (EK dan BI) Vol 7 No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Politeknik Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37600/ekbi.v7i2.1743

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the effect of economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI), oil consumption, and hydroelectricity generation on emission in Indonesia from 1986-2022. The data are generated from World Bank and British Petroleum. This study employs Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) to estimate the secondary data. Carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) is treated as dependent variable, while economic growth, FDI inflows, oil consumption, and hydroelectricity generation are treated as independent variables. The results revealed that economic growth positively affect CO2 in the short run. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) affect CO2 negatively but not significant on CO2. The result implies that the Pollution Halo is exist. Oil consumption affect CO2 positively significant both in short and long run. Furthermore, hydroelectricity generation as renewable energy affects CO2 negatively in the short run and positively in the long run but not significant. The result suggests to the stakeholders to enhance the innovation of the renewable energy to decline the CO2 emssions. Further, this study surely provides a new model in estimating the determinant of CO2 emissions as a proxy of environmental degradation especially in Indonesia.
Does Financial Technology Lending and Financial Literacy Affect Crime? Evidence From Indonesia Nugraha, Handy; Putriani, Santi; Febriani, Hanifah; Kuncoro, Trian Gigih; Anas, Muhammad; Puspitasari, Inda Fresti
Jurnal Reviu Akuntansi dan Keuangan Vol. 14 No. 4 (2024): Jurnal Reviu Akuntansi dan Keuangan
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/jrak.v14i4.34734

Abstract

Purpose: This research aims to investigate the relationship between FinTech Lending and Financial Literacy on Crime (fraud, embezzlement, and corruption). This research provides knowledge about the impact of FinTech Lending which can increase crime and financial literacy which can reduce crime. Methodology/approach: This study employs panel data consisting of 34 provinces in Indonesia with observations in 2019 and 2022 due to data availability. The secondary data used was collected from official Indonesian government institutions (OJK and BPS). To achieve the purpose, a quantitative approach and panel data regression analysis methods are applied. Panel data provides more variability, less collinearity among variables, and more degrees of freedom. This can lead to more efficient estimators and more precise inference of model parameters. Based on the Hausman test, the estimated model is Random Effects (RE). Findings: The results of this research show that FinTech Lending has a significant positive impact on the growth of crime, while Financial Literacy has a negative impact on the growth of crime. This indicates that as the use of FinTech Lending increases, crime rates also increase, and higher levels of Financial Literacy help reduce the growth of crime. Practical implications: The results of this research can be used as material for consideration by the government in creating a comprehensive legal framework through the establishment of a Law on FinTech. Originality/value: To the best of the researcher's knowledge, this research is the first research to investigate the influence of FinTech Lending and Financial Literacy on Crime Rates in Indonesia using a quantitative approach, whereas previous research used a qualitative approach.
DANA DESA DAN UPAYA PENGENTASAN KEMISKINAN: STUDI KASUS JAWA TENGAH Kuncoro, Trian Gigih; Arif, Muhammad; Primadani, Yulistya; Kurniawan, Wawan
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis Vol 29, No 3 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Gunadarma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35760/eb.2024.v29i3.9909

Abstract

This study focuses on poverty, an issue that affects every country, including developing ones like Indonesia. The primary objective is to investigate the impact of village funds (dana desa) on poverty in Central Java. Regional economic growth (PDRB) and the success of human development (IPM) are included in the research to provide a more balanced assessment. The research employs a data panel analysis with data from 29 districts over five periods (2016-2020). The findings reveal that poverty is influenced by village funds, showing a negative relationship. PDRB has a positive association with poverty, while IPM does not affect poverty levels. This study enhances our understanding of the connections between poverty, village funds, PDRB, and IPM at the provincial level. The implications of this research underscore the need for more precise policies in allocating village funds and a stronger focus on regional economic growth to alleviate poverty.
Evaluation Impact of the European Union Anti-Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) Policy: Empirical Study of Indonesian Agricultural Product Exports Indrasto, Haryo Bimo Budi; Asyifa, Hanif Nindy; Kuncoro, Trian Gigih
Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity) 2024: Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/iseth.5300

Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to analyze the impact of the European Union Anti-Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) on the export performance of Indonesia's agricultural products. Specifically, it evaluates how the EUDR affects export volumes to European Union (EU) member countries compared to non-EU countries. Additionally, the study examines the role of macroeconomic variables such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), population size, exchange rates, and economic distance in shaping Indonesia’s international trade patterns. Methodology: This research employs a quantitative approach using the gravity trade model as the analytical framework. Panel data from 20 of Indonesia’s trading partners, including both EU and non-EU countries, for the period 2018–2023 were used. The Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimation method was applied to address issues of heteroskedasticity and zero trade values in bilateral trade data. Key variables analyzed include GDP, population size, exchange rates, economic distance, as well as dummy variables for the implementation of EUDR and trading partner status (EU vs. non-EU). Results: The findings indicate that the implementation of EUDR has a significant negative effect on the export volume of Indonesia's agricultural products to EU member countries. Conversely, the EUDR's impact on exports to non-EU countries is statistically insignificant. The analysis also reveals that GDP growth in trading partner countries positively influences export volumes, while the depreciation of the Indonesian Rupiah against the US Dollar significantly reduces export performance, particularly in sectors dependent on imported raw materials. Economic distance between countries has a minimal impact, largely due to international trade agreements that reduce trade barriers. Applications/Originality/Value : This study provides valuable insights into the impact of international environmental regulations on the export performance of developing countries. By integrating the gravity trade model with the PPML approach, the research offers an innovative method for assessing the effects of EUDR in the context of global trade. The findings are relevant for policymakers in designing strategies to adapt to global environmental regulations, such as strengthening trade relations with non-EU countries and promoting sustainable practices in the agricultural sector. The originality of this study lies in its use of multi-country panel data and its focus on the interplay of economic, policy, and environmental variables in shaping trade patterns.
Analysis of Factors Affecting the Export Potential of Indonesian Tea Plantation Products to European Countries Darmashanty, Nathaya Andhyra; Kuncoro, Trian Gigih
Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity) 2024: Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/iseth.5378

Abstract

Purpose: Tea is one of the commodities in the plantation sub-sector that is exported to international markets. In addition, Indonesia's land quality is suitable for tea growing conditions and has the potential to increase production and export volumes to the international market. However, in 2021, Indonesia's tea export performance declined so that productivity decreased. Limitations in technology, selection of poor quality tea seeds, and lack of government attention to the tea farming sector are the reasons for the decline in export performance in the sector. This study aims to to analyze whether the GDP of the importing country, exchange rates, inflation, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions affect Indonesian tea exports to importing countries. Methodology: The research method used quantitative data and was tested with multiple linear regression analysis with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) model to investigate the effect of Gross Domestic Product, inflation, exchange rate, and carbon dioxide on Indonesian tea exports from 2009-2020. Results: The results of the study showed that statistically the GDP of the UK and the Netherlands had no effect on Indonesian tea exports while the increase in GDP positively affected Indonesian tea exports to Russia. Carbon dioxide emissions have a negative effect on Indonesian tea exports to Russia, the Netherlands and the UK. Applications/Originality/Value The findings provide advice for the government to maintain tea exports as well as provide supportive agricultural media, innovations in environmentally friendly agricultural technology, and increase cooperation between tea farmers.
The Impact of GDP, Inflation, Exchange Rate, and IA-CEPA on the Indonesia-Australia Trade Deficit Aulia, Fitrotul Anindita; Kuncoro, Trian Gigih
Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity) 2024: Proceeding ISETH (International Summit on Science, Technology, and Humanity)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/iseth.5404

Abstract

Purpose: Information Globalization has increased international trade cooperation, including the growing ties between Indonesia and Australia through the IA-CEPA agreement. However, despite Australia being a strategic partner, it contributes significantly to Indonesia's trade deficit. This study aims to identify the factors driving the trade deficit between Indonesia and Australia. It analyzes the impact of the IA-CEPA agreement and the macroeconomic variables of both countries. These variables include Indonesia's GDP, Australia's GDP, Indonesia's inflation, Australia's inflation, and the Rupiah exchange rate. Methodology: This research adopts a quantitative approach, using data spanning the period from 1991 to 2023, sourced from the International Trade Centre, International Monetary Fund, and Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. To analyze these variables' short-term and long-term effects, the study employs the Error Correction Model (ECM) method using Eviews 9. Results: The results indicate that, in both the short and long term, Australia's GDP has a significantly positive effect on Indonesia's trade balance. Conversely, Indonesia's GDP and inflation significantly negatively impact in the long term. Australia's inflation is found to have a significant negative impact in the short term. Additionally, the IA-CEPA agreement has a significant negative effect in both the short and long term. Meanwhile, the exchange rate does not show a significant influence in either period. Applications/Originality/Value Indonesia must take strategic steps to improve bilateral trade performance with Australia by developing potential sectors, controlling inflation, and strengthening the competitiveness of local industries.
Co-Authors Allya Rahma Faradilla Andriyani, Rachma Fadia Asyifa, Hanif Nindy Aulia, Fitrotul Anindita Darmashanty, Nathaya Andhyra Daryono Soebagyo Deni Aditya Susanto Eni Setyowati Eni Setyowati Febriani, Hanifah Firdaus Kurniawan Handy Nugraha Imtiyas Azza Atthiyah Inda Fresti Puspitasari Indrasto, Haryo Bimo Budi Kurniawan, Firdaus Mahrus Lutfi Adi Kurniawan, Mahrus Lutfi Adi Maulidyah Indira Hasmarini Maulidyah Indira Hasmarini Muhammad Anas Muhammad Arif Nugraha , Handy Nugraha, Handy Oktaviari, Veronika Dita Pratiwi Putri Perwithosuci, Winny Primadani, Yulistya Santi Putriani Wawan Kurniawan