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Faktor-Faktor yang Menyebabkan Kemiskinan di Provinsi Papua: Analisis Spatial Heterogeneity Wahyuni, Ribut Nurul Tri; Damayanti, Arie
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 14, No. 2
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Pro-poor growth program has not been effective reducing poverty in Papua because the government does not have complete information about the spatial variation of poverty-causing factors (spatial heterogeneity). Therefore, this study will analyze poverty-causing factors using Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model. This study finds that the influence of the cultivated land area, use of technical irrigation, source of drinking water, and the electrical infrastructure vary spatially. In additions, multivariate K-means clustering shows that subdistricts are spatially clustered by geographical conditions. These results imply that poverty alleviation interventions should be different for different areas.
Pengaruh Pendidikan dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Terhadap Ketimpangan Pendapatan di Indonesia dengan Akses Energi Sebagai Variabel Moderasi: Moderated Regression Analysis Wahyuni, Ribut Nurul Tri; Utami, Tarisha Althaf
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2024 No 1 (2024): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2024
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2024i1.2122

Abstract

Every country, including Indonesia, persistently faces the issue of income disparity. Indonesia's gini ratio in 2022, a measure of income inequality, reached 0.384. We categorize this value as moderate and require efforts to decrease it. One of these efforts is to improve energy access. When combined with other factors, energy access can reduce economic inequality. This study seeks to examine the impact of the interaction between energy access, economic growth, and average years of schooling on income inequality in 34 Indonesian provinces from 2015 to 2022. The study will use moderated regression analysis. According to the research findings, increasing energy availability can mitigate the positive effects of economic growth and average years of schooling on income disparity. Consequently, it is advisable to integrate strategies that foster economic expansion, prolong the average duration of education, and ensure a fair allocation of energy infrastructure, especially in underdeveloped areas. Thus, income disparities will decline.
Dampak Bantuan Subsidi Upah Terhadap Kemiskinan di Indonesia Tahun 2023 Pelodu, I Gede Ariasa; Wahyuni, Ribut Nurul Tri
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2024 No 1 (2024): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2024
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2024i1.2181

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has made poverty alleviation programs in Indonesia less effective. Therefore, the government issued an additional policy, namely the Wage Subsidy Assistance (BSU). This study aims to determine the general picture of BSU recipients and analyze the impact of BSU on poverty in Indonesia using the Propensity Score Matching (PSM) method. This method is used because BSU recipient households must meet certain requirements (not random). The observation unit is individuals aged 15 years and over who meet the criteria for BSU recipients. This study uses the 2023 National Socio-Economic Survey data from BPS-Statistics Indonesia. The results of the study show that the majority of BSU recipients are not poor people. However, the chances of individuals who participate in the BSU program being poor are lower than individuals who do not participate in the BSU program. This shows that the BSU program can be one solution to reducing poverty in Indonesia. Recipients of the BSU policy also need to be evaluated so that they are right on target.
Dampak Dampak Liberalisasi Perdagangan Terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia Rangkuti, Suifatiha; Rahmi, Meautia; Nuriyo, Amalia Ndaru; Wahyuni, Ribut Nurul Tri
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2024 No 1 (2024): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2024
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2024i1.2288

Abstract

Globalisation encourages the trade of goods and services between countries without any trade barriers, or known as trade liberalisation. Trade liberalisation can impact the macroeconomic indicators of countries that engage in international trade, one of which is inflation. The purpose of this study is to analyse the effect of trade liberalisation on inflation in Indonesia. The variables used are trade openness and inflation. This study uses autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method with the research period 2000 - 2023. In addition, government spending and money supply are also used as control variables. The results show that trade openness can increase the inflation on one untill two years later. Trade openness is also show the same effect in the long run and short run. Meanwhile, government expenditure and money supply also increase inflation in the long run and short run.
Regional Convergence and Spatial Shift-Share Analysis of Labor Productivity in Indonesia Wahyuni, Ribut Nurul Tri
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 13, No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v13i2.39092

Abstract

Research Originality: This study offers a new method to analyze district labor productivity in Indonesia.Research Objectives: This study examines the convergence of district labor productivity in Indonesia and the role of structural change in this district labor productivity growth.Research Methods: This study uses spatial convergence and spatial shift-share analysis. This study collected data from BPS-Statistics Indonesia at the district level between 2010 and 2022.Empirical Results: Labor productivity in Indonesia exhibits convergence. Neighbor districts' characteristics, such as initial labor productivity and unobserved variables, affect this convergence. The intrasectoral component has the most significant effect on labor productivity growth. The intersectoral component, caused by structural change, has almost no effect.Implications: The Indonesian government can improve intrasectoral productivity growth to accelerate labor productivity development.JEL Classification: C21, E24, R11
DAMPAK URBAN SPRAWL TERHADAP PRODUKTIVITAS TENAGA KERJA DI INDONESIA Wahyuni, Ribut Nurul Tri; Sofa, Wahyuni Andriana; Kartiasih, Fitri
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis Vol 30, No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Gunadarma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35760/eb.2025.v30i1.11313

Abstract

Peningkatan urban sprawl di Indonesia cukup masif sejak perubahan sistem pemerintahan dari sentralisasi menjadi desentralisasi. Peningkatan tersebut bisa berdampak pada produktivitas tenaga kerja, namun dampaknya masih bersifat ambigu. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hubungan antara urban sprawl dan produktivitas tenaga kerja di kabupaten/kota pada tahun 2022 dengan menggunakan instrumental variable - two stage least squares (IV-2SLS). Urban sprawl menggambarkan rata-rata proporsi undeveloped land di radius 1,5 km dari lingkungan tempat tinggal penduduk. Hasilnya membuktikan bahwa urban sprawl berhubungan negatif dengan produktivitas tenaga kerja, terutama di kabupaten/kota berpenduduk padat dan di Jawa. Hasil ini menyiratkan bahwa kebijakan anti urban sprawl di kabupaten/kota berpenduduk padat dapat meningkatkan produktivitas tenaga kerja. Kabupaten/kota dengan urban sprawl rendah cenderung menarik penduduk berpendidikan tinggi. Ini mungkin menyebabkan produktivitas di kabupaten/kota tersebut tinggi. Selain itu, urban sprawl dikaitkan dengan upah yang rendah. Perusahaan yang berada di urban sprawl bisa memiliki produktivitas yang lebih rendah, namun kerugian tersebut sebanding dengan pembayaran upah yang rendah ke tenaga kerja. Meskipun demikian, urban sprawl memungkinkan tenaga kerja tinggal dekat dengan tempat kerja sehingga upah yang rendah belum tentu mencerminkan penurunan kesejahteraan tenaga kerja.
CONFIDENCE SHOCKS IN EMERGING MARKETS AND THEIR GLOBAL CONTAGION: INSIGHTS FROM G-CUBED SIMULATIONS Sofa, Wahyuni Andriana; Wahyuni, Ribut Nurul Tri; Kartiasih, Fitri
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis Vol 30, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Gunadarma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35760/eb.2025.v30i2.12754

Abstract

The global economy has begun to recover from the global financial crisis (GFC), which occurred around 10 years ago, according to recent economic statistics.  However, investor confidence has declined in a number of significant emerging markets (EMEs) due to rising interest rates in the US and ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, potentially causing contagion effects worldwide. The worldwide impacts of the financial crisis in certain important EMEs, namely Argentina, Brazil, Turkey, and Russia (ABTR), as well as its widespread impact on raising global investment and consumption risk, are examined in this paper using the G-Cubed model for G-20 nations with six sectors.  According to the findings, because three distinct shocks struck at the same time in ABTR countries—where the initial shock emerged—they experience the most negative short-term effects of the confidence crisis.  The cost of capital rises as a result of the capital outflow from these nations, which causes firms to disinvest or reduce their capital stock. Households across all nations are also more likely to discount future income streams as a result of their increased risk assessment, which promotes more savings and lower spending.  Additionally, both developed and non-shocked emerging countries grew as a result of increased capital inflows, but their trade balances worsened due to exchange rate appreciation, which made the production decline worse.