CN100456335C - Visual evaluation method of urban traffic system status based on traffic flow characteristics and its application - Google Patents
Visual evaluation method of urban traffic system status based on traffic flow characteristics and its application Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
本发明提供一种基于交通流相特征的城市交通系统状态可视化评价方法,包括下述步骤:A、在特定道路截面采集持续时间不低于三个月的实时信号波形,构造交通流状态参量;B、对交通流状态参量进行信号滤波,以获得交通流的样本总体;C、计算样本总体中所有样本的平均值和标准差,并以标准差与平均值的比值作为样本离散系数;D、依据交通流多维状态参量强聚集性特征,构造和优化用于评价的标准特征相平面图;E、将交通系统的历史数据、当前数据及预测数据置于标准相图上,直观地判别交通系统的运行状态和变化趋势。本发明方法可用于利用交通实时数据分析进行的各种交通工程技术活动,具有直观明了,易于应用,判断准确性高,适用范围广的优点。
The present invention provides a method for visually evaluating the state of urban traffic system based on traffic flow characteristics, comprising the following steps: A, collecting real-time signal waveforms with a duration of not less than three months at a specific road section, and constructing traffic flow state parameters; B. Carry out signal filtering on the traffic flow state parameters to obtain the sample population of traffic flow; C. Calculate the average value and standard deviation of all samples in the sample population, and use the ratio of the standard deviation to the average value as the sample dispersion coefficient; D. According to the strong aggregation characteristics of multi-dimensional state parameters of traffic flow, construct and optimize the standard characteristic phase plane diagram for evaluation; E, put the historical data, current data and forecast data of the traffic system on the standard phase diagram, and visually distinguish the traffic system operating status and trends. The method of the invention can be used in various traffic engineering technical activities carried out by analyzing traffic real-time data, and has the advantages of intuition and clarity, easy application, high judgment accuracy and wide application range.
Description
技术领域 technical field
本发明涉及城市交通系统的状态评价技术,特别涉及一种基于交通流相特征的城市交通系统状态可视化评价方法及其应用。The invention relates to a state evaluation technology of an urban traffic system, in particular to a method for visually evaluating the state of an urban traffic system based on traffic flow characteristics and its application.
背景技术 Background technique
城市道路拥挤是影响我国经济发展的重要问题。随着城市化进程的深入和人们的生活水平的不断提高,城市人口及机动车辆随之剧增,城市的交通堵塞状况变得日益严重。治理交通堵塞的措施目前主要有两大类:第一类是扩建道路,从量上解决道路容量不能满足交通需求的矛盾;第二类是通过先进的科学技术手段和交通管理措施,协调上述矛盾的双方,从质上改变现有道路网的交通管理体系,即智能交通系统。从国内外多年的探索和实践可知,智能交通系统具有以较小的费用来改善道路网交通整体运行效率的优势。Urban road congestion is an important problem affecting the economic development of our country. With the deepening of the urbanization process and the continuous improvement of people's living standards, the urban population and motor vehicles have increased dramatically, and the urban traffic jam has become increasingly serious. There are currently two main categories of measures to control traffic congestion: the first category is to expand roads to solve the contradiction that road capacity cannot meet traffic demand in terms of quantity; the second category is to coordinate the above-mentioned contradictions through advanced scientific and technological means and traffic management measures The two parties will qualitatively change the traffic management system of the existing road network, that is, the intelligent transportation system. From years of exploration and practice at home and abroad, it can be seen that intelligent transportation systems have the advantage of improving the overall operational efficiency of road network traffic at a relatively low cost.
交通信息发布是智能交通系统应用领域中一项重要功能和组成部分。它以交通流运动机理为理论依据,通过多种媒体方式为出行者和交通管理者提供实时有效的交通信息,指出道路网通畅的行驶路线,从而避免司机盲目出行或道路管理者错误决策而造成的交通阻塞,达到路网畅通、高效运行之目的,使整个道路网保持于一个有意识、有目的、主观能动的、可实时调节的、全局性的交通网动态平衡状态。The release of traffic information is an important function and part of the intelligent transportation system application field. Based on the theory of traffic flow movement mechanism, it provides travelers and traffic managers with real-time and effective traffic information through a variety of media, and points out the smooth driving route of the road network, so as to avoid drivers blindly traveling or road managers making wrong decisions. To achieve the purpose of smooth and efficient operation of the road network, and to maintain the entire road network in a conscious, purposeful, subjectively active, real-time adjustable, and overall traffic network dynamic balance state.
与交通堵塞解决方案的迫切需求和建设交通基础设施的巨大市场相比,智能交通系统的基础理论研究形成了一个很大的反差。以城市交通流运动机理为基础的道路运行状态评估模型研究远远跟不上国家经济发展形势的需求,现有的交通流理论无法解释和预测城市交通拥挤的生成机理和演化趋势。近年来,人们对采用数学模型解释交通系统问题的方法提出了质疑,开始重新回归到对交通流本身表现出来的现象进行研究。从Greenshield(1935)、Edie(1961)、Helbing(1995),到Kerner(2004)为代表的科学家们采用了交通流外部特征研究的分析方法。与模型分析法相比,特征分析法的核心是依据交通流外部特征来描述整体现象,而不是单纯依据数学函数来描述某一类现象。从大量的交通数据分析表明,交通流随着密度的增加,将会经历自由流、拥挤流和堵塞流三个性质迥然不同的相态。不同相的状态变量之间在适当的时空尺度下将会表现出强聚集性的特征,否则,它们将离散地分布在一个复杂的几何区域内,甚至无法用函数关系来表示。交通系统的状态不仅受到道路几何条件如车道缩窄的瓶颈地带影响,而且与交通系统内部多种影响因素有着密切的联系。交通流存在着由自由相向拥挤相转化;拥挤相向堵塞相转化的可能,也存在着在自由相状态下受扰时出现急剧向堵塞相转变的可能。Compared with the urgent need for traffic congestion solutions and the huge market for building traffic infrastructure, the basic theoretical research of intelligent transportation systems forms a big contrast. The research on the evaluation model of road operation status based on the movement mechanism of urban traffic flow is far behind the needs of the national economic development situation. The existing traffic flow theory cannot explain and predict the generation mechanism and evolution trend of urban traffic congestion. In recent years, people questioned the method of using mathematical models to explain traffic system problems, and began to return to the research on the phenomenon of traffic flow itself. Scientists represented by Greenshield (1935), Edie (1961), Helbing (1995), and Kerner (2004) have adopted the analysis method of traffic flow external characteristics research. Compared with the model analysis method, the core of the feature analysis method is to describe the overall phenomenon based on the external characteristics of the traffic flow, rather than describing a certain type of phenomenon purely based on mathematical functions. The analysis of a large amount of traffic data shows that as the density increases, traffic flow will experience three distinct phases: free flow, congested flow and blocked flow. The state variables of different phases will show strong aggregation characteristics at an appropriate time-space scale, otherwise, they will be discretely distributed in a complex geometric area, and cannot even be expressed by functional relationships. The state of the traffic system is not only affected by the geometric conditions of the road, such as the narrowing of the lane, but also closely related to various factors inside the traffic system. There is a possibility of traffic flow transforming from free phase to congested phase, from congested phase to congested phase, and there is also the possibility of a sharp transition to congested phase when disturbed in the free phase state.
目前国内外已公布不少相关主题的专利申请和授权,它们从各自的角度和运动机理来描述交通流的性质。其中有,申请号为200510026214.7的中国发明专利申请公开了一种城市路网交通流状态估计方法,着眼于车载GPS卫星定位数据,结合相应的悉尼自适应交通控制系统(SCATS)提供的交通信号状态信息,以路段为对象,对城市路网的交通流状态速度进行拟合建模,得到固定时刻城市路网中各有向路段沿路段方向上的平均速度,以速度为指标完成对当前交通流拥堵状态的分析估计。专利号为WO2005064565-A1的发明专利公布了一种提供交通状态信息的方法,在交通状态标识文本,尤其是利用车辆定位检测设备的GPS信息判断车辆平均速度,通过拥挤检测设备的平均速度预设值判别交通状态。上述两种技术都采用速度参量来判别信号控制交叉口状态,这对于控制参数变化的交叉路口来说是不合适的,当信号控制参数变化时延误时间部分将会改变,判别参量的阈值也随之而改变;申请号为200510040621.3中国发明专利申请公开了一种交通信号控制系统运行模式自适应转换方法,将实时交通需求分成轻交通、中交通和重交通三种状态;其中交通流量低于某一设定值V1时为轻交通状态,交通流量高于某一设定值V2时为重交通状态,交通流量高于某一设定值V1、低于另一设定值V2时为中交通状态。该专利采用流量作为判别参数与实际情况不符,因为流量是多值函数,无法唯一确定交通流的状态,所选取的流量阈值含有主观因素。专利号为JP2006085511-A的日本专利公布了一种通过道路交通感应器或探测在拥挤区域行驶所积累的时间序列数据的交通信息预测系统。对拥挤区域的检测数据通过聚类方法用各种各样的类别进行交通状态评价。同时考虑到周内星期、法定假期等时间因素。该专利提供了一种交通流稳态结构的有效分析方法。At present, many patent applications and authorizations on related topics have been published at home and abroad, and they describe the nature of traffic flow from their own perspectives and motion mechanisms. Among them, the Chinese invention patent application with the application number 200510026214.7 discloses a method for estimating the state of urban road network traffic flow, focusing on vehicle-mounted GPS satellite positioning data, combined with the traffic signal state provided by the corresponding Sydney Adaptive Traffic Control System (SCATS) Information, with the road section as the object, the traffic flow state speed of the urban road network is fitted and modeled, and the average speed of each directional road section along the road section in the urban road network at a fixed time is obtained, and the current traffic flow is calculated using the speed as the index. Analysis and estimation of congestion status. The invention patent with the patent number WO2005064565-A1 discloses a method of providing traffic state information. In the text of the traffic state identification, especially the GPS information of the vehicle positioning detection device is used to judge the average speed of the vehicle, and the average speed of the congestion detection device is preset. value to determine the traffic state. The above two technologies both use speed parameters to judge the state of signal-controlled intersections, which is not suitable for intersections whose control parameters change. The application number is 200510040621.3 Chinese invention patent application discloses a traffic signal control system operation mode adaptive conversion method, which divides real-time traffic demand into three states: light traffic, medium traffic and heavy traffic; wherein the traffic flow is lower than a certain A set value V1 is a light traffic state, when the traffic flow is higher than a certain set value V2, it is a heavy traffic state, and when the traffic flow is higher than a certain set value V1 and lower than another set value V2, it is a medium traffic state state. The patent uses the flow rate as the discriminant parameter, which is inconsistent with the actual situation, because the flow rate is a multi-valued function, and the state of the traffic flow cannot be uniquely determined, and the selected flow rate threshold contains subjective factors. Japanese Patent No. JP2006085511-A discloses a traffic information forecasting system through road traffic sensors or time series data accumulated by detecting driving in congested areas. The detection data of congested areas are evaluated by clustering method with various classes for traffic status. At the same time, time factors such as the week of the week and statutory holidays are taken into consideration. This patent provides an efficient analysis method for the steady-state structure of traffic flow.
然而,更多的专利申请和授权专利则侧重于交通系统及设备的检测方法,或基于交通状态的先进控制方法。其中有,专利号为02113826.5的中国发明专利公布了一种基于视频车辆光学特征识别匹配的交通流量检测系统。该系统采用机器视觉技术,采集城市交通道路或高速高等级公路任意路段两个或两个以上不同位置车道上行驶的车辆图像,识别出车辆的光学特征,通过对不同位置采集和识别的车辆光学特征匹配结果,计算出该路段上车辆通行能力包括车流量、密度、车速、车距、逆行、超速、滞留技术指标,为交通系统工程提供智能化管理必需的交通流量信息。专利号为03116977.5的中国发明专利公开了一种基于元胞自动机的城市交通信号自组织控制方法,将城市交通信号控制系统作为交通网络处理,每个路口作为具有自主采集和处理信息功能的智能体,系统依靠网络的自组织实现每个路口交通信号控制的动态决策。用属性矩阵表达本地路口及其相邻路口的状态信息,相连路口的关系用相对方位进行描述,将交通信号控制系统建立为一个具有元胞自动机特征的虚拟网络模型。However, more patent applications and authorized patents focus on detection methods for traffic systems and equipment, or advanced control methods based on traffic conditions. Among them, the Chinese invention patent No. 02113826.5 discloses a traffic flow detection system based on video vehicle optical feature recognition and matching. The system uses machine vision technology to collect images of vehicles driving on two or more lanes in different positions on any section of urban traffic roads or high-speed high-grade highways, and recognizes the optical characteristics of the vehicles. Based on the feature matching results, the vehicle capacity on the road section is calculated, including traffic flow, density, speed, distance, retrograde, overspeed, and technical indicators of retention, providing traffic flow information necessary for intelligent management of traffic system engineering. The Chinese invention patent with the patent number of 03116977.5 discloses a self-organized control method of urban traffic signals based on cellular automata. The urban traffic signal control system is treated as a traffic network, and each intersection is used as an intelligent system capable of autonomously collecting and processing information. The system relies on the self-organization of the network to realize the dynamic decision-making of traffic signal control at each intersection. The state information of the local intersection and its adjacent intersections is expressed by the attribute matrix, and the relationship between the connected intersections is described by the relative orientation. The traffic signal control system is established as a virtual network model with the characteristics of cellular automata.
此间,介于实时交通数据与各种先进的控制方法之间的交通系统状态评价问题,是保证控制系统有效性的一项关键技术,但目前尚鲜有涉及。Here, the traffic system state evaluation problem between real-time traffic data and various advanced control methods is a key technology to ensure the effectiveness of the control system, but it is rarely involved.
发明内容 Contents of the invention
本发明的目的在于克服现有技术存在的缺点和不足,提供一种实用性强,判断准确性高,适用范围广的基于交通流相特征的城市交通系统状态可视化评价方法。The purpose of the present invention is to overcome the shortcomings and deficiencies of the prior art, and provide a visual evaluation method of urban traffic system status based on traffic flow characteristics with strong practicability, high judgment accuracy and wide application range.
本发明的另一目的在于提供上述城市交通系统状态可视化评价方法的应用。Another object of the present invention is to provide the application of the above-mentioned visual evaluation method for the state of urban traffic system.
本发明的目的通过下述技术方案实现:一种基于交通流相特征的城市交通系统状态可视化评价方法,包括下述步骤——The purpose of the present invention is achieved through the following technical solutions: a method for visual evaluation of urban traffic system status based on traffic flow characteristics, comprising the following steps—
A、在特定道路截面采集持续时间不低于三个月的实时信号波形,构造交通流状态参量;A. Collect real-time signal waveforms with a duration of not less than three months in a specific road section, and construct traffic flow state parameters;
B、对交通流状态参量进行信号滤波,以获得交通流的样本总体;B. Carry out signal filtering on traffic flow state parameters to obtain a sample population of traffic flow;
C、计算样本总体中所有样本的平均值和标准差,并以标准差与平均值的比值作为样本离散系数;C. Calculate the mean and standard deviation of all samples in the sample population, and use the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean as the sample dispersion coefficient;
D、依据交通流多维状态参量强聚集性特征,构造和优化用于评价的标准特征相平面图(简称标准相图);D. Construct and optimize the standard characteristic phase diagram (referred to as the standard phase diagram) for evaluation according to the strong aggregation characteristics of multi-dimensional state parameters of traffic flow;
E、将交通系统的历史数据、当前数据及预测数据置于标准相图上,直观地判别交通系统的运行状态和变化趋势。E. Put the historical data, current data and forecast data of the traffic system on the standard phase diagram, and intuitively judge the operation status and change trend of the traffic system.
所述步骤A可包括如下具体步骤:Said step A may include the following specific steps:
A1、在特定的道路类型选择合适的交通流检测点设置交通检测器。尽量避免在入口匝道合流区、出口匝道分流区、路段交织区、距离信号控制交叉路口出口线小于600米的路段或受下游信号控制路口排队车辆影响的路段内布设交通检测器;所述交通检测器可为基于地点截面测量的不同检测原理和检测技术的交通检测器;。A1. Select an appropriate traffic flow detection point on a specific road type to set up a traffic detector. Try to avoid the deployment of traffic detectors in the entrance ramp merge area, exit ramp diversion area, road section weaving area, road sections less than 600 meters away from the exit line of signal-controlled intersections, or road sections affected by queuing vehicles at downstream signal-controlled intersections; the traffic detection The detector can be a traffic detector based on different detection principles and detection technologies of site cross-section measurement;
A2、通过交通检测器采集车辆经过检测点测量范围内的实时信号波形。对于固定采样周期或可调采样周期的交通检测器,考虑到实际过程中可能产生的测量噪声,选取采样周期范围为20秒~1分钟为宜;A2. Collect the real-time signal waveform within the measurement range of the vehicle passing through the detection point through the traffic detector. For traffic detectors with fixed sampling period or adjustable sampling period, considering the measurement noise that may be generated in the actual process, it is advisable to select a sampling period ranging from 20 seconds to 1 minute;
A3、保证持续24小时采样、连续时间不低于三个月的测量时间;A3. Guarantee continuous sampling for 24 hours, and the continuous measurement time shall not be less than three months;
A4、由实时信号波形构造交通流状态参量,即流量、速度和密度。A4. Construct traffic flow state parameters from real-time signal waveforms, namely flow, speed and density.
所述步骤B可包括如下具体步骤:The step B may include the following specific steps:
B1、数据预处理。对步骤A4产生的状态参量进行数据处理,去掉异常值,修复缺失值;B1. Data preprocessing. Perform data processing on the state parameters generated in step A4, remove abnormal values, and repair missing values;
B2、选择滑动间隔为0.5~5分钟,平均周期为3~15分钟,对上述步骤A4产生的三个状态参量进行滑动平均,以获得交通流样本总体。B2. Select a sliding interval of 0.5 to 5 minutes, and an averaging period of 3 to 15 minutes, and perform a sliding average on the three state parameters generated in the above step A4 to obtain a traffic flow sample population.
所述步骤C包括如下步骤:Said step C comprises the following steps:
C1、计算样本总体中三个状态参量的平均值和标准差;C1. Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the three state parameters in the sample population;
C2、以标准差与均值的比值作为样本离散系数,计算交通流样本总体中三个状态参量的样本离散系数。C2. Using the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean as the sample dispersion coefficient, calculate the sample dispersion coefficients of the three state parameters in the traffic flow sample population.
所述步骤D包括如下详细步骤:Said step D comprises the following detailed steps:
D1、设定标准相图参量;选择密度(=时间占有率)和流量作为标准相图的参量;选择密度(=时间占有率)和速度作为参考相图的参量;D1, setting standard phase diagram parameter; Select density (=time occupancy ratio) and flow as the parameter of standard phase diagram; Select density (=time occupancy ratio) and speed as the parameter of reference phase diagram;
D2、设定区域边界;选择流量范围为0~3000(v/h),速度范围为0~200(km/h)(也可按道路类型交通环境具体设定),密度范围为0~100(%);D2. Set the area boundary; select the flow range from 0 to 3000 (v/h), the speed range from 0 to 200 (km/h) (it can also be set according to the road type and traffic environment), and the density range from 0 to 100 (%);
D3、确定标准相图中满足低密函数关系且相关系数>0.9时对应的参考相图的最低速度值为自由相的速度临界值;D3. Determine that the minimum velocity value of the corresponding reference phase diagram when the standard phase diagram satisfies the low-density function relationship and the correlation coefficient is > 0.9 is the velocity critical value of the free phase;
D4、计算最低速度时密度平均值和标准差,确定最低速度时的密度偏差值(E±σ)为自由相的密度临界域;D4. Calculate the density average value and standard deviation at the lowest speed, and determine the density deviation value (E ± σ) at the lowest speed as the density critical region of the free phase;
D5、计算密度对应的流量和速度样本离散系数;选择样本离散系数产生急剧变化的过渡区域为堵塞相的密度临界域;。D5. Calculate the flow rate and velocity sample dispersion coefficient corresponding to the density; select the transition area where the sample dispersion coefficient changes sharply as the density critical region of the plugging phase;
D6、遍历密度取值范围计算流量的平均值和标准差;D6. Calculate the average value and standard deviation of the flow rate by traversing the density value range;
D7、计算标准相图的自由相边界拟合函数;用最小二乘法对自由相密度范围内的流量偏差值(E+3σ)进行二次幂函数拟合,作为自由相上边界L1;对密度范围的流量偏差值(E-3σ)进行二次幂函数拟合,作为自由相下边界L2;D7, calculate the free phase boundary fitting function of standard phase diagram; Carry out quadratic power function fitting to the flow deviation value (E+3σ) in the free phase density range with least square method, as free phase upper boundary L 1 ; The flow deviation value (E-3σ) in the density range is fitted with a quadratic power function as the lower boundary L 2 of the free phase;
D8、计算标准相图的非自由相边界拟合函数;用最小二乘法对非自由相密度范围内的流量偏差值(E+3σ)进行二次幂函数拟合,作为非自由相上边界L3;D8. Calculate the non-free phase boundary fitting function of the standard phase diagram; use the least squares method to perform quadratic power function fitting on the flow deviation value (E+3σ) within the range of the non-free phase density, and use it as the upper boundary L of the non-free phase 3 ;
D9、调整标准相图的上边界线;若L1和L3在自由相的密度临界上值处不相交于一点时,则保留流量为大值对应的上边界拟合函数,调整流量小值对应的上边界拟合函数的系数且保持常数项不变,使得自由相和非自由相的上边界拟合函数相交于自由相的密度临界上值且相等;D9. Adjust the upper boundary line of the standard phase diagram; if L 1 and L 3 do not intersect at one point at the critical upper value of the density of the free phase, then keep the flow rate as the upper boundary fitting function corresponding to the large value, and adjust the small value of the flow rate The coefficients of the corresponding upper boundary fitting function and keep the constant term unchanged, so that the upper boundary fitting functions of the free phase and the non-free phase intersect at the critical upper value of the density of the free phase and are equal;
D10、确定自由相与拥挤相、拥挤相与堵塞相的模糊边界线;由自由相的密度下边界值与L2的交点和自由相的密度上边界值与L1的交点联成直线L4,作为自由相与拥挤相的模糊边界线;由堵塞相的密度下边界值与坐标横轴的交点和堵塞相的密度上边界值与L3的交点联成直线L5,作为拥挤相与堵塞相的模糊边界线;D10. Determine the fuzzy boundary lines between free phase and crowded phase, crowded phase and jammed phase; connect the intersection point of the lower boundary value of the density of the free phase with L 2 and the intersection point of the upper boundary value of the density of the free phase and L 1 to form a straight line L 4 , as the fuzzy boundary line between the free phase and the crowded phase; from the intersection point of the lower boundary value of the density of the jammed phase and the horizontal axis of the coordinate, and the intersection point of the upper boundary value of the density of the jammed phase and L 3 , a straight line L 5 is formed, which is used as the line L 5 for the crowded phase and the jammed phase Fuzzy boundary lines of phases;
D11、构造标准特征相平面图;由边界线L1、L4、L2以及坐标轴构成自由相区域;由边界线L2、L4、L3、L5以及坐标轴构成拥挤相区域;由边界线L5、L3以及坐标轴构成堵塞相区域。位于这些区域的点分别表示交通系统处于通畅、拥挤或堵塞状态;D11. Structural standard characteristic phase plan; the free phase area is composed of boundary lines L 1 , L 4 , L 2 and coordinate axes; the crowded phase area is composed of boundary lines L 2 , L 4 , L 3 , L 5 and coordinate axes; The boundary lines L 5 , L 3 and the coordinate axes constitute the plugging phase region. Points located in these areas indicate that the traffic system is in a smooth, congested or blocked state, respectively;
D12、定期调整标准特征相平面图;由于城市机动车保有量的逐渐增加,各相边界线拟合函数将包含低幂次的趋势因子。每隔1~3个月,需要利用前3个月的历史数据对标准相图和参考相图进行定期调整。D12. Regularly adjust the standard feature phase plan; due to the gradual increase in the number of urban motor vehicles, the fitting function of each phase boundary line will include a low power trend factor. Every 1 to 3 months, it is necessary to use the historical data of the previous 3 months to make regular adjustments to the standard phase diagram and the reference phase diagram.
所述步骤E包括如下详细步骤:Described step E comprises following detailed steps:
E1、将实时交通数据置于标准相平面图中,根据其位置直观地判断和评价交通系统当前状态和性质;E1. Put the real-time traffic data in the standard phase plan, and intuitively judge and evaluate the current state and nature of the traffic system according to its position;
E2、将历史数据、当前数据,以及预测数据置于标准相图中,各点顺序联线,直观地分析交通系统的运动规律以及交通拥挤的形成和演变趋势。E2. Put the historical data, current data, and forecast data in the standard phase diagram, connect each point sequentially, and intuitively analyze the movement law of the traffic system and the formation and evolution trend of traffic congestion.
本发明的作用原理是:利用相特征和样本离散系数来实现交通流三相判别和评价,通过大量样本的采集和分析,得到流量~密度和速度~密度(或相关参量)相平面图,以及流量和密度的样本离散系数。数据分析表明,流量~密度相平面图在自由相区域呈现出一种强聚集性的幂函数关系,它可以用低阶幂函数,甚至可以用线性函数表达式来描述,其相关系数满足R2>0.9。速度~密度相平面图在非自由相区域,呈现出一种强聚集性的函数关系,其相关系数满足R2>0.9。通过流量和密度的样本离散系数的分布,可以发现拥挤相区域与堵塞相区域的重要差异表现为样本离散系数的不同。在拥挤相区域车辆受到前后左右车辆高密集地相互制约,速度同步化,表现为强跟驰现象。在堵塞相区域车辆走走停停,瞬间速度时慢时快,表现为缓慢地向前蠕动状态。显然,堵塞相区域交通流样本离散系数要比拥挤相的值大得多。The working principle of the present invention is: use the phase characteristics and the sample dispersion coefficient to realize the three-phase discrimination and evaluation of the traffic flow, and obtain the flow-density and speed-density (or related parameters) phase plane diagram and flow rate through the collection and analysis of a large number of samples. and the sample coefficient of dispersion for the density. The data analysis shows that the flow-density phase plane diagram presents a strongly aggregated power function relationship in the free phase region, which can be described by a low-order power function or even a linear function expression, and its correlation coefficient satisfies R 2 > 0.9. Velocity-density phase plane diagram presents a strong aggregation function relationship in the non-free phase region, and its correlation coefficient satisfies R 2 >0.9. Through the distribution of the sample dispersion coefficients of flow and density, it can be found that the important difference between the crowded phase area and the plugged phase area is represented by the difference of the sample dispersion coefficient. In the congested phase area, the vehicles are closely restricted by the front, rear, left, and right vehicles, and the speed is synchronized, which is manifested as a strong car-following phenomenon. In the blockage phase area, the vehicles stop and go, and the instantaneous speed varies from slow to fast, showing a slow forward creeping state. Obviously, the coefficient of dispersion of traffic flow samples in the congestion phase area is much larger than that of the congestion phase.
依据自由相、拥挤相、堵塞相在不同时空尺度下表征的交通流相特征,我们可以构造标准特征相平面图,简称为标准相图。相关区域对应于城市交通系统通畅、拥挤或堵塞的不同状态。若将一定时间范围的历史数据、当前数据以及利用各种预测模型所得到的预测数据置于标准相图中,可以直观地了解在不同道路和交通条件下交通流的运动规律,评价交通系统运行状态,分析交通拥挤现象的形成和演变趋势。According to the characteristics of traffic flow phases represented by free phase, congested phase, and jammed phase at different time and space scales, we can construct a standard characteristic phase plane diagram, referred to as the standard phase diagram. The relevant areas correspond to different states of smooth, congested or blocked in the urban traffic system. If historical data of a certain time range, current data, and forecast data obtained by using various forecast models are placed in the standard phase diagram, it is possible to intuitively understand the movement law of traffic flow under different roads and traffic conditions, and evaluate the operation of the traffic system. State, analyze the formation and evolution trend of traffic congestion.
本发明方法适用利用交通实时数据分析进行的各种交通工程技术活动,如短时间尺度的交通信息发布、动态路径规划与导航、紧急事件调度、交通信号控制系统和城市交通运行管理,以及中长时间尺度的交通组织、交通规划、道路维护和道路改造计划等道路交通管理与决策活动。The method of the present invention is applicable to various traffic engineering technical activities carried out by using traffic real-time data analysis, such as short-time scale traffic information release, dynamic path planning and navigation, emergency dispatch, traffic signal control system and urban traffic operation management, and medium and long-term Time-scale traffic management and decision-making activities such as traffic organization, traffic planning, road maintenance and road renovation plans.
本发明相对于现有技术具有如下的优点及效果:(1)直观明了,易于应用;本发明方法是一种在复杂环境下参比标准相图以评价城市交通系统状态的可视化方法,判断过程简单、方便,其结果以可视化形式表示,非常便于交通管理部门及城市规划部门应用。(2)判断准确性高;本发明方法采集持续时间不低于三个月的实时信号作为基础构造和优化用于评价的标准特征相平面图,而且每隔1~3个月,均需利用前3个月的历史数据对标准特征相平面图进行定期调整,所以数据采集全面,对交通状态反映的准确性好。(3)适用范围广;本发明适用利用交通实时数据分析进行的各种交通工程技术活动,应用面较广;特别可应用于治理交通堵塞,从质上提高现有道路网的交通管理水平,以较小的费用来改善道路网交通的整体运行效率,为道路交通管理提供决策支持。Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following advantages and effects: (1) intuitive and clear, easy to apply; the method of the present invention is a kind of visualization method to evaluate the status of urban traffic system with reference to the standard phase diagram in a complex environment, and the judgment process It is simple and convenient, and the results are displayed in a visual form, which is very convenient for the application of traffic management departments and urban planning departments. (2) The judgment accuracy is high; the real-time signal whose duration is not less than three months is collected by the method of the present invention is used as the basic structure and optimized standard feature phase plane diagram for evaluation, and every 1 to 3 months, all need to use the previous The 3-month historical data regularly adjusts the standard characteristic phase plan, so the data collection is comprehensive and the accuracy of traffic status reflection is good. (3) wide range of application; the present invention is suitable for various traffic engineering technical activities utilizing traffic real-time data analysis, and has a wide range of applications; it can be particularly applied to control traffic jams, qualitatively improving the traffic management level of the existing road network, Improve the overall operation efficiency of road network traffic with a small cost, and provide decision support for road traffic management.
附图说明 Description of drawings
图1是本发明方法的流程图。Figure 1 is a flow chart of the method of the present invention.
图2是本发明方法中交通流流量~密度相平面图。Fig. 2 is a traffic flow rate-density phase plan view in the method of the present invention.
图3是本发明方法中交通流速度~密度相平面图。Fig. 3 is a traffic velocity-density phase plane diagram in the method of the present invention.
图4是本发明方法中流量和密度的样本离散系数分布曲线。Fig. 4 is the sample dispersion coefficient distribution curve of the flow rate and the density in the method of the present invention.
图5是本发明方法中标准特征相平面图的三相区域图。Fig. 5 is a three-phase area diagram of a standard characteristic phase plane diagram in the method of the present invention.
图6是本发明方法中交通系统状态可视化评价与分析图。Fig. 6 is a visual evaluation and analysis diagram of the traffic system state in the method of the present invention.
具体实施方式 Detailed ways
下面结合以城市快速路为实施例及附图对本发明作进一步详细的描述。The present invention will be further described in detail below in conjunction with taking urban expressway as an embodiment and accompanying drawings.
实施例Example
如图1所示,本发明基于交通流相特征的城市交通系统状态可视化评价方法包括如下步骤:As shown in Figure 1, the present invention's urban traffic system state visualization evaluation method based on traffic flow characteristics comprises the following steps:
A、在特定道路截面采集持续时间不低于三个月的实时信号波形,构造交通流状态参量;A. Collect real-time signal waveforms with a duration of not less than three months in a specific road section, and construct traffic flow state parameters;
B、对状态参量进行信号滤波,以获得交通流的样本总体;B. Perform signal filtering on state parameters to obtain a sample population of traffic flow;
C、计算样本总体中所有样本的平均值和标准差,并以标准差与平均值的比值作为样本离散系数;C. Calculate the mean and standard deviation of all samples in the sample population, and use the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean as the sample dispersion coefficient;
D、依据交通流多维状态参量强聚集性特征,构造和优化用于评价的标准特征相平面图(简称标准相图);D. Construct and optimize the standard characteristic phase diagram (referred to as the standard phase diagram) for evaluation according to the strong aggregation characteristics of multi-dimensional state parameters of traffic flow;
E、将交通系统的历史数据、当前数据及预测数据置于标准相图上,直观地判别交通系统的运行状态和变化趋势。E. Put the historical data, current data and forecast data of the traffic system on the standard phase diagram, and intuitively judge the operation status and change trend of the traffic system.
执行步骤A具体包括如下步骤:Executing Step A specifically includes the following steps:
A1、在特定的道路类型选择合适的交通流检测点设置交通检测器;尽量避免在入口匝道合流区、出口匝道分流区、路段交织区、距离信号控制交叉路口出口线小于600米的路段或受下游信号控制路口排队车辆影响的路段内布设交通检测器;A1. Select the appropriate traffic flow detection point for a specific road type and install traffic detectors; try to avoid in the entrance ramp merge area, exit ramp diversion area, road section weaving area, road section less than 600 meters away from the exit line of the signal control intersection or affected areas. Arrange traffic detectors in the road section affected by queuing vehicles at downstream signal control intersections;
A2、通过交通检测器采集车辆经过检测点测量范围内的实时信号波形;A2. Collect the real-time signal waveform within the measurement range of the vehicle passing through the detection point through the traffic detector;
A3、保证持续24小时采样、连续时间为三个月的测量时间;A3. Guaranteed continuous sampling for 24 hours and continuous measurement time of three months;
A4、由实时信号波形构造状态参量,即流量、速度和密度。A4. Construct state parameters from real-time signal waveforms, namely flow rate, speed and density.
执行步骤B具体包括如下步骤:Executing Step B specifically includes the following steps:
B1、数据预处理。对步骤A4产生的状态参量进行数据处理,去掉异常值,修复缺失值;B1. Data preprocessing. Perform data processing on the state parameters generated in step A4, remove abnormal values, and repair missing values;
B2、选择滑动间隔为1分钟,平均周期为5分钟,对以上步骤产生的三个状态参量进行滑动平均,以获得交通流样本总体。B2. Select the sliding interval as 1 minute and the averaging period as 5 minutes, and perform sliding average on the three state parameters generated in the above steps to obtain the overall traffic flow sample.
执行步骤C具体包括如下步骤:Executing step C specifically includes the following steps:
C1、计算交通流样本总体中三个状态参量的平均值和标准差;C1. Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the three state parameters in the traffic flow sample population;
C2、以标准差与平均值的比值作为样本离散系数,计算交通流样本总体中三个状态参量的样本离散系数。C2. Using the ratio of the standard deviation to the average value as the sample dispersion coefficient, calculate the sample dispersion coefficients of the three state parameters in the traffic flow sample population.
步骤D是本发明的关键部分,包括如下详细步骤;Step D is a key part of the present invention, including the following detailed steps;
D1、设定标准相图参量。实施例选择密度(=时间占有率)和流量作为标准相图的参量,如图2所示;选择密度(=时间占有率)和速度作为参考相图的参量,如图3所示;D1. Set the parameters of the standard phase diagram. Embodiment Select density (=time occupancy) and flow as the parameter of standard phase diagram, as shown in Figure 2; Select density (=time occupancy) and speed as the parameter of reference phase diagram, as shown in Figure 3;
D2、设定区域边界。实施例选择流量范围为0~2500(v/h),速度范围为0~100(km/h),密度范围为0~100(%);D2. Set the area boundary. The embodiment selection flow range is 0-2500 (v/h), the speed range is 0-100 (km/h), and the density range is 0-100 (%);
D3、确定标准相图中满足低密函数关系且相关系数>0.9时对应的参考相图的最低速度值为自由相的速度临界值。实施例中自由相的速度临界值为35.0km/h。D3. Determine that the minimum velocity value of the corresponding reference phase diagram when the standard phase diagram satisfies the low-density function relationship and the correlation coefficient is >0.9 is the velocity critical value of the free phase. In the embodiment, the speed critical value of the free phase is 35.0 km/h.
D4、计算最低速度时密度平均值和标准差,确定实施例中自由相的密度临界域为(23.34,29.54);D4, density average value and standard deviation when calculating the lowest speed, determine that the density critical region of free phase in the embodiment is (23.34, 29.54);
D5、计算密度对应的流量和速度样本离散系数,选择样本离散系数产生急剧变化的过渡区域为堵塞相的密度临界域,如图4所示。实施例中堵塞相的密度临界域为(60,65);D5. Calculate the flow rate and velocity sample dispersion coefficient corresponding to the density, and select the transition region where the sample dispersion coefficient changes sharply as the density critical region of the plugging phase, as shown in Figure 4. The density critical region of blocking phase is (60,65) in the embodiment;
D6、遍历密度取值范围计算流量的平均值和标准差;D6. Calculate the average value and standard deviation of the flow rate by traversing the density value range;
D7、计算标准相图自由相边界拟合函数。用最小二乘法对密度范围为(0,29.54)的流量偏差值(E+3σ)进行二次幂函数拟合,作为自由相上边界L1;对密度范围为(0,23.34)的流量偏差值(E-3σ)进行二次幂函数拟合,作为自由相下边界L2。其拟合函数为:D7. Calculate the free phase boundary fitting function of the standard phase diagram. Use the least square method to perform quadratic power function fitting on the flow deviation value (E+3σ) with a density range of (0, 29.54) as the upper boundary L 1 of the free phase; for the flow deviation with a density range of (0, 23.34) The value (E-3σ) is fitted with a power-of-two function and used as the lower boundary L 2 of the free phase. Its fitting function is:
自由相上边界L1的拟合函数:The fitting function of the upper boundary L1 of the free phase:
a1=-0.0548a 1 =-0.0548
其中:b1=2.8350Where: b 1 =2.8350
c1=-0.3738c 1 =-0.3738
相关系数R2=0.98。The correlation coefficient R 2 =0.98.
自由相下边界L2的拟合函数:The fitting function of the lower boundary L2 of the free phase:
a2=0.0357a 2 =0.0357
其中:b2=0.4312Where: b 2 =0.4312
c2=0.2114c 2 =0.2114
相关系数R2=0.97。The correlation coefficient R 2 =0.97.
D8、计算标准相图非自由相边界拟合函数。用最小二乘法对密度范围为(29.54,100)的流量偏差值(E+3σ)进行二次幂函数拟合,作为非自由相上边界L3:D8. Calculate the non-free phase boundary fitting function of the standard phase diagram. Use the least squares method to fit the flow deviation value (E+3σ) in the density range (29.54, 100) to the second power function, and use it as the upper boundary L 3 of the non-free phase:
非自由相上边界L3的拟合函数:The fitting function of the upper boundary L 3 of the non-free phase:
a3=-0.0045a 3 =-0.0045
其中:b3=0.0403Where: b 3 =0.0403
c3=40.97c 3 =40.97
相关系数R2=0.93。The correlation coefficient R 2 =0.93.
D9、调整标准相图的上边界线。若L1和L3在自由相的密度临界上值为29.54且不相交于一点时,则保留流量为大值对应的上边界拟合函数,调整流量小值对应的上边界拟合函数的系数且保持常数项不变,使得自由相和非自由相的上边界拟合函数相交于自由相的密度临界上值且相等。D9. Adjust the upper boundary line of the standard phase diagram. If L 1 and L 3 are 29.54 at the critical upper density of the free phase and do not intersect at one point, then retain the upper boundary fitting function corresponding to the large value of the flow rate, and adjust the coefficient of the upper boundary fitting function corresponding to the small value of the flow rate And keep the constant term unchanged, so that the upper boundary fitting functions of the free phase and the non-free phase intersect with the critical upper value of the density of the free phase and are equal.
D10、确定标准相图自由相与拥挤相、拥挤相与堵塞相的模糊边界线。由自由相的密度下边界值与L2的交点和自由相的密度上边界值与L1的交点联成直线L4,作为自由相与拥挤相的模糊边界线;由堵塞相的密度下边界值与坐标横轴的交点和堵塞相的密度上边界值与L3的交点联成直线L5,作为拥挤相与堵塞相的模糊边界线;D10. Determine the fuzzy boundary lines between free phase and crowded phase, crowded phase and jammed phase in the standard phase diagram. The intersection of the lower boundary value of the free phase density and L 2 and the intersection point of the upper boundary value of the free phase density and L 1 form a straight line L 4 , which serves as the fuzzy boundary line between the free phase and the crowded phase; the lower boundary of the density of the blocked phase The intersection point of the value and the horizontal axis of the coordinates and the intersection point of the upper boundary value of the density of the jammed phase and L 3 form a straight line L 5 , which is used as the fuzzy boundary line between the jammed phase and the jammed phase;
D11、构造标准特征相平面图。由边界线L1、L4、L2以及坐标轴构成自由相区域;由边界线L2、L4、L3、L5以及坐标轴构成拥挤相区域;由边界线L5、L3以及坐标轴构成堵塞相区域,如图5所示。位于这些区域的点分别表示交通系统处于通畅、拥挤、或堵塞状态;D11. Structural standard characteristic phase plan. The free phase area is formed by the boundary lines L 1 , L 4 , L 2 and the coordinate axes; the crowded phase area is formed by the boundary lines L 2 , L 4 , L 3 , L 5 and the coordinate axes; the crowded phase area is formed by the boundary lines L 5 , L 3 and The coordinate axes constitute the plugging phase region, as shown in Fig. 5. Points located in these areas indicate that the traffic system is in a smooth, congested, or blocked state, respectively;
D12、标准特征相平面图的定期调整。实施例为城市中心商务区快速路交通环境,车流量变化较大。因此,选择每隔1个月定期调整标准相图和参考相图。D12. Periodic adjustment of the standard characteristic phase plan. The embodiment is an expressway traffic environment in a central business district of a city, and the traffic flow varies greatly. Therefore, choose to adjust the standard phase diagram and reference phase diagram regularly every 1 month.
执行步骤E具体包括如下步骤:Executing Step E specifically includes the following steps:
E1、将实时交通数据置于标准相图中,根据其位置直观地判断和评价交通系统当前状态和性质;E1. Put the real-time traffic data in the standard phase diagram, and intuitively judge and evaluate the current state and nature of the traffic system according to its position;
E2、将历史数据、当前数据,以及预测数据置于标准相图中,各点顺序联线,直观地分析交通系统的运动规律以及交通拥挤的形成和演变趋势,如图6所示。E2. Put the historical data, current data, and forecast data in the standard phase diagram, connect the points sequentially, and intuitively analyze the movement law of the traffic system and the formation and evolution trend of traffic congestion, as shown in Figure 6.
由使用结果可见,本发明可以帮助用户快速、方便、直观地判断和评价交通流状态的性质,极大地提高了工作效率,是交通管理和决策的有用工具。It can be seen from the use results that the present invention can help users quickly, conveniently and intuitively judge and evaluate the nature of the traffic flow state, greatly improves work efficiency, and is a useful tool for traffic management and decision-making.
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