Youth Bulge Impact on Global Conflicts
1. The document discusses the concept of a "youth bulge" which occurs when 30-40% of a nation's males are between the ages of 15-29. Youth bulges can lead to tensions and violence due to a lack of respectable positions available. 2. El Salvador is used as an early example where predictions were made in 1970 that its youth bulge and increasing prosperity could lead to conflict, which occurred starting in 1975 with a civil war that killed over 70,000 people. 3. Intelligence agencies failed to anticipate youth bulge-related conflicts in Lebanon in 1975 and 2005/2006 and in Iran in 1978 and 2006 due to not considering demographic factors. These failures led to unexpected violence against peace
Youth Bulge Impact on Global Conflicts